Posted by: Kingsguru21 | April 29, 2009

More Player Comparison(s)

Last time I compared Donte Greene’s rookie season to Gerald Wallace’s rookie season for a variety of reason’s.

One, was that Greene, like Wallace, played PF in college his lone season there. Two, was that Greene and Wallace didn’t get much time, and unlike Wallace, it was puzzling why in Greene’s case.

Keep in mind the players I’m comparing are not straight ahead comparisons and therefore this isn’t going to be a straight ahead point about stats at a young age. The point is simply that players develop at different rates.

——per 36 min——
Age Pts Reb Ast TOs Stl Blk 2P/3P/FT

Player A 20 13.6 4.3 3.2 2.4 1.3 0.4 45/34/71

Player B 19 13.9 4.7 2.5 3.2 1.2 0.0 49/22/62

Player C 19  14.0 2.9 2.9 2.2 2.2 .18 46/27/77

Player A is Monta Ellis in his rookie year with the Golden State Warriors. Player B is Lou Williams in his rookie year with the Philadelphia 76ers. And Player C is Brandon Jennings with Lottomatica Roma. (With Jennings, I didn’t want to average his Italian stats and his EuroLeague stats, so I just chose with EuroLeague stats with a smaller sample size. There is some variation between the 2, but for the most part, it’s not huge. It certainly makes my point.)

The point is that is each player brings something different to the table at such a young age. Williams and Jennings got to the FT line at a bit higher rate.  Ellis TO’s are substantially lower. They all score at a similar rate. Jennings has the best steal rate of any of the three.

I understand that Lou Williams and Monta Ellis were 2nd round picks, but that was because they were both shoot first PG’s out of HS that teams didn’t want to risk using a 1st round pick on. With Jennings, there might be still a steep learning curve in his 1st year running the show for a pro NBA team. Then again, perhaps some of that curve has been minimized. The point is that young players, especially players who don’t have a set spot in the rotation or a clear idea of what’s being expected of them, take time to develop and become the players they can ultimately be.

Plus,  it’s hard to fathom that Jennings couldn’t have played at or near the same level of competition that Williams and Ellis received in their first season’s in the NBA.

Either way, Brandon Jennings has a shot to be something special. Maybe he’s not Monta Ellis, or more of a Tony Parker mold. That’s not a bad thing. What’s my bet? Well, with regards to Jennings it will be how he performs from here on out. At the Reebok Treviso camp, and how well he performs in the individual workouts he has with teams. Does it matter? Well, we’ll see, but my guess is that Jennings moves into the top 5 just based on actual talent and potential development. He also has proven (I think teams have gone over to see if it was true) that he was coachable in ways they couldn’t measure on TV.


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